Equity Investment Sparks Internal Struggle

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November 20, 2024 193

In the world of investment, a fascinating yet concerning trend has emerged, particularly in the realm of capital raising. Initially, when one delves into financing strategies as part of an academic or professional journey, the presentation of a diverse group of Limited Partners (LPs) is often championed. These LPs are expected to include a variety of entities, such as insurance companies, publicly listed firms, high-net-worth individuals, state-owned enterprises, and even international investors. Such a melting pot of financial backers is thought to promote a healthy and competitive LP market, fostering innovation and growth within the investment landscape.

However, as the years roll on and experience is gained in the investment sector, a stark reality begins to surface: the diversity of LPs is dwindling. Where have all the varied funding sources disappeared to? It raises eyebrows and induces a sense of confusion, as many veterans in the industry have found themselves pondering this conundrum.

When I first embarked on my investment career, it was an exciting time. The landscape was not merely focused on domestic substitutes or high-tech advancements; there was still a vibrant interest in internet-based companies and consumer goods. Yet, fast forward to the present, and it seems the horizon has narrowed significantly. The focus has pivoted predominantly towards sectors like semiconductors and renewable energy, particularly the semiconductor industry.

It raises the question: should technology and investment be confined to just semiconductor ventures? Unfortunately, many enterprises within our realm exhibit a rather paradoxical nature. Once they achieve significant technical breakthroughs, these companies often transition from high-value tech innovators to low-margin manufacturers in the blink of an eye. This reality begs clarification; who would desire to invest in a manufacturing powerhouse that lacks scalability and high-profit margins?

Despite the overwhelming presence of investment firms, the strategies deployed when pursuing funding tend to converge. This convergence leads an unprecedented number of funds to primarily target state-owned enterprises, resulting in a homogenization of investment tactics and objectives.

As we move deeper into the investment segments, another layer of inefficiency surfaces, primarily stemming from the unhealthy nature of contractual disputes over profitability agreements. In the investment community, it is often observed that while betting on a startup with a long journey ahead towards potential IPOs—possibly spanning a decade—some stakeholders insistent on creating shorter timelines, demanding, for instance, a six-year exit agreement.

In such situations, founders find themselves in a precarious position. If they are reluctant to concede to such terms, they are often subjected to relentless bargaining. During these negotiations, rhetoric surrounding resource allocation and enhanced capabilities is employed, and sometimes social bonding over drinks becomes part of the strategy. This pressure is, unfortunately, a product of the past, where a handful of dubious founders misled state investments, leading to a tightening of agreements in a bid to protect institutional capital.

The question arises: are the missteps of a minority now punishing the majority of sincere founders? As stricter stipulations arise from a few bad apples, it becomes increasingly arduous for honest entrepreneurs to navigate their trajectories, stymied by an overly cautious investment environment. Consequently, there is a systemic issue where scrupulous actors bear the brunt of regulatory backlash, leading to a phenomenon where bad capital drives out good.

Further complicating matters is the reality that given changing listings standards and the still-immature merger and acquisition (M&A) market, investors are compelled to tighten their evaluation criteria and negotiate lower valuations to safeguard returns. This leads to negotiations often starting at significant discounts—sometimes in the range of 20 to even 40 percent below the original estimate—placing additional strain on the already beleaguered entrepreneurs.

In these scenarios, if founders resist the valuation cuts, they are subjected to the same exhausting negotiation process, underscoring a pervasive culture of inefficiency and fatigue. While assessing a firm’s technical capacity and commercial viability remains essential, the weight on these factors seems to diminish when juxtaposed with maneuvering through such stringent investment conditions.

As mentioned earlier, the mimicry of investment projects across similar sectors only exacerbates this internal inefficiency within the ecosystem, ultimately hindering growth and innovation.

Moving forward, let's explore the practical pitfalls in the execution phase of investments. Let’s assume a project is best suited for development in a city like Shenzhen. Yet, for various reasons, such as fund sourcing, it winds up being championed by a capital firm predicated in a different city altogether, perhaps Guangzhou. The dilemma unfolds as the investor is left with merely the capital from Guangzhou and no allocation towards the facilitation of operations in Shenzhen, even though that’s where the project's potential shines brightest.

In desperation, the project’s founders may feel the need to pursue funding despite their internal resistance, all the while playing a game with various institutions that can offer capital, often to cities with overlapping industrial strategies. In grander circles, this leads to multiple institutions clamoring to secure a project's establishment in their respective jurisdictions, often duplicating efforts and incentivizing the founders to appease to the conditions offered. For instance, many cities proffer similarly structured incentive packages—the same operational conditions, yet fashioned differently to entice.

Take, for example, a project I initiated last February that had projected revenues of up to 50 million by year-end. With ongoing negotiations surrounding listing agreements and funds, it wasn’t until December that we could gather for a decisive investment committee meeting. To my shock, the LPs expressed their disappointment upon seeing revenue figures that trailed below expectations, leading to scrutiny of our efforts. It was a stark reminder that the very requisites laid forth by these LPs had hindered the project's progress, thereby stalling our anticipated operations.

Finally, let’s discuss inefficiencies surrounding the exit strategies. The tenth year of operation approaches and the venture is edging closer to a potential listing. However, driven by fund cycles and pressures, one may find themselves needing to exit prematurely, relinquishing shares. Though the fundamentals of the business may suggest a positive outlook for an eventual IPO, current investors might wish to cash out early to capture immediate returns on investments.

The willingness of acquiring institutions might hinge on the grasping at a chance for certainty offered by a company that’s expected to go public in three years, even if that entails paying a price above the market standard. This scenario encapsulates what I personally view as a healthy secondary market exit, characterized by mutual benefit.

Yet these days, as the primary market trends toward uncertainty, it is alarmingly evident that the parameters for a reliable exit strategy have become increasingly constricted. Apart from very few opportunities—such as those presented within exploration exchanges—investors generally remain apprehensive. There is a dire need to reassess the maturity of our acquisition landscape, which remains undeveloped despite the founding of our first trading venue three decades ago.

In conclusion, the investment terrain has morphed into a challenging battleground, where projects converge on similar target profiles, and investors become fixated on redundant mechanisms for capital extraction. Institutions accepting secondary market positions might possess astute insights, recognizing subtleties others overlook. Alternatively, they might find themselves under pressure to conform to institutional investing norms. In a paradoxical use of capital dynamics, everyone desires to emerge as the intelligent investor while accepting the assumptions of being the patient capital. Yet, as the industry matures, the degree of access to sound exits becomes increasingly limited, with numerous national LPs outright prohibiting acceptance of secondary shares, leaving investors in a precarious position.

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